Posted on: May 20, 2010 12:08 pm

2nd Mock - Post Lottery

Here you go. Commentary on only the lottery for now. Endulge yourself. Comment below, make it all right.

1. Washington
Wizards - They’ll take John Wall (PG Kentucky) and not even think twice about it. Gilbert and Wall will clumsily co-exist for just as long as it takes the Wiz to find a trade partner willing to take on the old gunslinger, ala the Kevin Martin donation to Houston from a few months back. A year ago Washington was primed to contend in the Eastern Conference. A stacked veteran roster with a new playoff tested head coach set the stage. A series of escalating debacles later and they’re rewarded with the #1 pick in the draft. Rebuilding sure is easy.

2. Philadelphia 76ers - Evan Turner (SG/SF Ohio State) is the guy here. Pairing him with Andre Igoudala is a bit suspect, as neither can really shoot all that well. This suggests they might be open to moving down a spot or two if it meant adding a couple of equivalent pieces and unloading one of their terrible contracts in the process. However, unless they are wowed by an offer they’ll sit tight, take Turner and eventually unload Iggy if the duo is proved to be too flawed.

3. New Jersey Nets - One thing we have learned for sure is that having the worst record in the NBA basically guarantees you will not have the #1 pick in the draft. It’s only happened four times in the twenty five year history of the lottery, and that includes the LeBron-Cavs rigging of 2003. The Nets will take Derrick Favors (PF Georgia Tech) because he matches up well with Brook Lopez and because his ceiling is right up there with Wall. Favors is an athletic freak. The combine and workout sessions are where his gifts will truly come out, meaning from here on his stock will only rise.

4. Minnesota Timberwolves - The Wolves will do every thing in their power to trade into the top 2. Assuming that doesn’t work, because nothing every works for the Wolves, they’ll take DeMarcus Cousins (C Kentucky). His college stats were ridiculous and if the guy had a better history of intelligent decisions he’d be right up there with Turner as a toss up for the 2nd pick. He makes Al Jefferson expendable, who will be flipped into a wing or another lottery pick.

5. Sacramento Kings - Tyreke Evans and a bunch of roleplayers. That’s what the Kings have right now. They’ll give Wesley Johnson a long look but eventually decide on Greg Monroe (PF Georgetown). His stock is on the rise and he’s exactly the kind of guy to anchor the other end of the Kings starting lineup. His well-regarded passing makes for an intriguing inside-outside game with Evans.

6. Golden State Warriors - The Warriors really wanted Favors or Cousins. Instead they’ll continue to gorge on scorers when they take Wesley Johnson (SF Syracuse). He’ll probably average 20 points a game in the Golden State offense…and play no defense whatsoever.

7. Detroit Pistons - Ekpe Udoh (PF/C Baylor) might be a surprise here but I doubt that would be the case if he had played for a bigger college program. He reminds me a lot of Ben Wallace; high energy and defensively oriented, a lesser shot blocker but more offensively talented. The odds that Detroit trades out of this spot are extremely likely in my opinion.

8. Los Angeles Clippers - The one player who fills a major need for the Clippers in Al-Farouq Aminu (SF Wake Forest) actually falls to them. He’s raw but has the potential to hold down their small forward spot as a versatile defender who, unlike all their other players, doesn’t need the ball to be effective.

9. Utah Jazz - If Greg Monroe falls they’ll take him to replace Carlos Boozer. They’ll also give Ed Davis a look, but let’s be honest, Ed Davis sucks. In the end, the Jazz prepare for the eventual departure of Mehmet Okur and take Cole Aldrich (C Kansas). Greg Ostertag comparisons will be abound but they’re way off in anything other than a racial sense. Aldrich can be a strong defender immediately and pair nicely with Paul Milsap.

10. Indiana Pacers - Gordon Hayward (SF Butler) getting picked here will probably be regarded as the biggest reach of the draft, not entirely unlike their first round pick last year, Tyler Hansbrough. The hometown Goliath killer, the Larry Bird comparisons. It’s all too perfect. How he fits with Danny Granger is beyond me and whether or not he actually gets picked in this spot or later via trade down I’m not sure, but I really believe he’s a Pacer before the end of draft night.

11. New Orleans Hornets - The Hornets are in limbo right now. They have a lot of high priced veteran talent but find themselves outside the playoffs. Much of that can be attributed to Chris Paul’s chronic injuries last season. The rest of it has to do with their high priced veteran talent not being very good. I think they’ll go with the boom or bust pick in Hassan Whiteside (PF/C Marshall), hoping they get what they had in Tyson Chandler for a fraction of the cost.

12. Memphis Grizzlies - I think there’s a 90% chance that the Grizzlies trade out of this spot. Their only glaring need is point guard and no one outside of John Wall warrants a pick this high. I’ll say they lose Rudy Gay to free agency and draft Damion James (SF Texas) as his replacement. James can also play power forward in a pinch and will bring a nice element of a power game to their mix. But again, this is moot because they won’t pick here.

13. Toronto Raptors - Ed Davis (PF North Carolina) will assume the Chris Bosh mantle, which will be nearly impossible for a vastly inferior talent to live up to. I personally wouldn’t touch Davis with a Top 20 pick but the report on him is inexplicably decent and he’ll probably end up going around here.

14.  Houston Rockets - The Rockets are also a candidate to trade but I think they’ll end up using this pick on Patrick Patterson (PF Kentucky).  Even Patterson probably knows he’ll never be a star, but a fair projection is as a versatile role player who can contribute immediately in a system such as the one Houston runs. He’ll quickly establish a reputation as one of the best long distance shooting big men in the league. Think Channing Frye but stronger…and shorter.

15. Milwaukee Bucks - Xavier Henry (SG Kansas)
16. Minnesota Timberwolves - James Anderson (SG Oklahoma State)
17. Chicago Bulls - Donatas Montiejunas (PF/C Europe)
18. Miami Heat - Avery Bradley (PG/SG Texas)
19. Boston Celtics - Luke Babbitt (SF Nevada)
20. San Antonio Spurs - Daniel Orton (C Kentucky)
21. Oklahoma City Thunder - Larry Sanders PF (VCU)
22. Portland Trailblazers - Dominique Jones (PG/SG SouthFlorida)
23. Minnesota Timberwolves - Paul George (SF Fresno State)
24. Atlanta Hawks - Lance Stephenson (SG Cincinnati)
25. Memphis Grizzlies - Eric Bledsoe (PG Kentucky)
26. Oklahoma City Thunder - Soloman Alabi (C Florida State)
27. New Jersey Nets - Darrington Hobson (SG/SF New Mexico)
28. Memphis Grizzlies - Stanley Robinson (SF Connecticut)
29. Orlando Magic - Willie Warren (PG Oklahoma)
30. Washington Wizards - Gani Lawal (PF Georgia Tech)

That's it. Agree? Disagree? Thanks for your participation.

Category: NBA
Tags: mock, nba draft
Posted on: June 1, 2009 2:53 pm

A new mock, for which to mock V3.0

Keep in mind, this is a mock draft, not player rankings. My rankings would actually be quite different. The following, rather, is based on what I think will happen and the various reliable-sounding rumors I have heard. There's quite a few changes between this and my last mock. A big trend I went with was teams taking players who went to college in that state when push came to shove. I'll put the initials HS (home state) at the end of each commentary to denote that every time that happens.

1. Clippers - Blake Griffin PF Oklahoma I still think they want to take Rubio but ultimately won't risk the nightmarish PR fallout of letting Griffin pass.
2. Grizzlies - Hasheem Thabeet C UConn The rumors, true or not, are that Rubio doesn't want to play for Memphis because of past poor dealings with fellow Spainards, Pau Gasol and Juan Carlos Navarro, and now their slight on Marc Gasol by openly declaring they want another center to start ahead of him.
3. Zombies - Ricky Rubio PG Europe A starting five of Rubio, Westbrook, Durant, Green and maybe Tyson Chandler has the looks of a future undead dynasty.
4. Kings - Brandon Jennings PG Europe I think they'll trade down but ultimately this will be their guy. HS
5. Wizards - James Harden SG Arizona State Jordan Hill is another strong possibility here and probably more of a need but the allure of an Arenas/Harden backcourt with Butler on the wing might be a little too deadly to pass up.
6. Timberwolves - Stephen Curry PG/SG Davidson The first stunner of the draft. Why do the Wolves do this? Because they are the Wolves. Also, this prediction is based on them convincing themselves that he can be a servicable point guard in the mold of a shoot first guy like Sam Cassell. Some fans are scared off by that idea because it didn't work with Foye but that doesn't mean they should never try it again. I've slightly come around on the idea of this. He might be the only guy in the draft besides Griffin who you know absolutely is going to be elite at something: shooting. Furthermore, the Wolves should still be in the mindset of drafting the best player available as oppose to need. Need is something playoff teams draft for. Rebuilding squads go for best available. If his workouts go well, Curry may prove himself to be that.
7. Warriors - Jordan Hill PF Arizona Very solild pick and a desperate need, which means they probably won't actually take him.
8. Knicks - DeMar DeRozan SG USC - They want Curry but will settle for DeRozan, who has as much potential as any one in the draft and has the high flying game that could thrive under D'Antoni.
9. Raptors - Tyreke Evans SG Memphis If the Wolves don't go Curry then Evans will be their guy, assuming no big names fall. His best asset: he has the size and quickness to guard the 1-3 spots.
10. Bucks - Johnny Flynn PG Syracuse I'm sticking with Flynn here. It just makes too much sense on too many levels.
11. Nets - Earl Clark SF/PF Louisville I like this dude a lot.
12. Bobcats - Gerald Henderson SG Duke This guy is very solid. I wouldn't at all be surprised if his Duke stigma causes people to underrate him and he ends up being one of the best guards from this draft. HS
13. Pacers - BJ Mullens C Ohio State - The workouts are where Mullens will reclimb draft boards. He is, after all, a rare combination of size and freakish athleticism for his size. I wouldn't even think about him until the late teens at the absolute earliest but because he's one of only two centers in this draft my feeling is that a team will reach for him. Plus, it's the only glaring position of need for them.
14. Suns - Chase Budinger SF Arizona They could just as easily go point guard here but I think they'll take one more shot at the title, which means drafting both a need and a player who can contribute immediately. Enter Budinger. HS
15. Pistons - DeJuan Blair PF Pittsburgh Direct Bulls snipe. Size and post stregth, exactly what this team needs.
16. Bulls - James Johnson SF/PF Wake Forest Sort of redundant to Luol Deng but Johnson is actually much more suited to play the 4 and in addition to versatility, he'll likely be their most offensively skilled big immediately.
17. 76ers - Sam Young SG/SF Pittsburgh Mock drafts have a huge variation on this kid right now, ranging from late lottery to late 1st round. He's an all around player and will be a nice fit next to Iggy. I think they'll re-sign Andre Miller, but if not, this pick could be a PG. HS
18. Timberwolves - Eric Maynor PG VCU Sticking with the best player available theme, the Wolves go Maynor here. Some fans would detest the drafting of a PG, as it would signify they intend to play Curry at the 2 guard, which most think he cannot do. I happen to think it could work well. A guard rotation of Foye, Miller, Maynor and Curry would provide a little bit of everything and at least create a stable from which at least two players should emerge as legitimate cornerstones.
19. Hawks - Ty Lawson PG North Carolina I'm much higher on him than this but rumors suggest he is falling and becoming the odd man out in the PG wars. A great steal for the Hawks.
20. Jazz - Terrance Williams SG Louisville With nine players entering free agency it's tough to say what this team will need but if we're going by last year's roster an offensive off guard stud like Williams would fit nicely.
21. Hornets - Marcus Thornton SG LSU This will seem high compared to other mocks but I like his game a lot and I think he would be a nice back court fit with Paul. HS
22. Mavericks - Tyler Hansbrough PF North Carolina As many predict, he may turn out to be a college wonder and pro bust but he's exactly the kind of player the Mavs need next to Dirk.
23. Kings - Austin Daye SF Gonzaga - Sac has shown they aren't afraid to take projects like Jason Thompson or as I assume, Brandon Jennings, and Daye is exactly that. At 6'10" and with shooting guard skills he could pay off big ..,or totally bust out of the league.
24. Portland - Jrue Holliday PG UCLA The Blazers are always suckers for the big name and Holliday is that. My guess is they'll for sure unload Sergio Rodriguez and possibly Jerryd Bayless as well this offseason, making room for this pick.
25. Zombies - Gani Lawal PF Georgia Tech Seems like a logical choice given their roster make up. They could use a real PF to spell Jeff Green, who is playing out of position.
26. Bulls - Omri Casspi SF Israel If they don't think he'll come over this is the choice. If he's coming this season I doubt he'll go here. They could easily trade this pick, as well.
27. Grizzlies - Jeff Teague PG Wake Forest This could be exactly the right spot for him to go or a complete steal, maybe the steal of the draft. Don't be surprised if climbs as much as a dozen picks between now and the draft.
28. Timberwolves - Derrick Brown SF Xavier I'd be stunned if the Wolves actually use this pick. It just doesn't seem like it's in their plans. Hopefully they package it as part of a move up or to acquire an established player.
29. Lakers - Darren Collison PG UCLA Patrick Mills is a better point guard but they'll take the hometown kid instead. Derek Fisher is old. HS
30. Cavaliers - DeJuan Summers SF Georgetown Summers is sort of boring to me but he is a strong wing and pretty NBA ready. If the Cavs use this pick they'll take someone who can help now.

The two big names that go undrafted by this account are Patrick Mills PG St. Marys and Wayne Ellington SG UNC. Either one could easily go in the 1st but as of now, this is how I see it shaking out.

Category: NBA
The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com